LFG Bitcoin Reserves At Risk As UST Dollar Peg Collapses

As the Terra stablecoin becomes depegged from the U.S. dollar, the biggest buyer of bitcoin in recent months could become its biggest forced seller.

The below is an excerpt from a recent edition of Bitcoin Magazine Pro, Bitcoin Magazine’s premium markets newsletter. To be among the first to receive these insights and other on-chain bitcoin market analysis straight to your inbox, subscribe now.

UST Dollar Peg Collapses

What’s been developing over the weekend and has been amplified today is the depegging of the Terra stablecoin (UST) to the U.S. dollar now with Terra currently trading at $0.85. Many of these market dynamics have been playing out in near real time today as the situation worsens and will likely change again over the next 24 hours. It started with billions of dollars in UST leaving the high-yielding Anchor Protocol over the weekend and turned into a full-on digital bank run.

UST relies on the LUNA token to maintain its price through algorithmic minting and burning mechanics. Through this method, an arbitrage opportunity is created when UST is off its $1 peg. Traders can burn LUNA and create new UST when UST is priced over $1 and profit. When UST is below $1, UST gets burned and LUNA is minted to help stabilize the peg. Yet, as UST has suffered a blow to demand and liquidity, LUNA has fallen nearly 26% in just one day while BTC is down nearly 8%.

As UST has suffered a blow to demand and liquidity, LUNA has fallen nearly 26% in just one day while BTC is down nearly 8%.

Why this matters for bitcoin is because the centralized Luna Foundation Guard (LFG) has accumulated 42,530 bitcoin ($1.275 billion at a $30,000 price) as reserves to be used in these exact situations, to defend the UST peg when it sustains below the $1. And currently, that is exactly what they are attempting to do.

Luna Foundation Guard is attempting to leverage its BTC reserves to defend its UST peg.

As a response, the LFG voted earlier today to loan out $750 million of bitcoin and $750 million of UST to OTC trading firms in efforts to help sustain the UST peg. Later in the day, the LFG announced a withdrawal of nearly 37,000 BTC to loan out to market makers highlighting that it is currently being used to buy UST. 

Now the main risk to the market is that the biggest buyer of bitcoin over the last couple months will now become the market’s biggest forced seller. The market expectations and potential selling have certainly played a role in bitcoin’s historic selloff today, but it comes at the same time that broader equity markets have been selling off in tandem. Bitcoin’s correlation to broader equity indexes and tech stocks is at historic highs and is following the same market dynamics since November 2021.

As a result of the rise in global interest rates, 40-year high inflation, deteriorating growth and a macro credit sell-off and unwinding unfolding, we’ve been highlighting these dynamics and the larger market risks at hand for months.

Bitcoin price and Nasdaq futures correlation.

Share:

Share on facebook
Facebook
Share on twitter
Twitter
Share on pinterest
Pinterest
Share on linkedin
LinkedIn
On Key

Related Posts

Overvalued or Undervalued? How much is Ethereum actually worth?

Ethereum (ETH) is one of the most popular and well-known cryptocurrencies. For the market, the Ether price is the second most important value after the Bitcoin. At the moment we saw a sharp drop in the value of Ethereum in 2022. But is Ethereum undervalued or overvalued today? In this article, we will tell you how much Ethereum

ETC Price Analysis: What is Ethereum Classic and its Battle With Ethereum

Ethereum Classic is a fork of Ethereum. People who closely observed the crypto world in 2016 know about the Ethereum hard fork. What is dramatic about the happening is that the once-vaunted “code is law” philosophy has been broken, pushing major waves in the crypto world. This post is all about ETC price analysis and its battle

Andreessen Horowitz Announces $4.5 Billion Fund for Crypto, Blockchain Sector

At a time when the digital assets market is witnessing an acute downturn, American venture capital fund Andreessen Horowitz has announced a new $4.5 billion fund for crypto and blockchain investments. This is the fourth fund from the Silicon Valley fund for the crypto asset class. Together, the fund now accumulates $7.6 billion. Andreessen’s first

Bullieverse Integrates ChainLink VRF for Bear Hunt NFT Game

The Bullieverse metaverse on Ethereum and Polygon have integrated the ChainLink Verifiable Random Function. The decision was made for a fair distribution of NFTs in the new Bear Hunt 3D game. Moreover, the function will help users verify the transparency of the game while also making sure everyone stands an equal opportunity to win the